Free Tools
Free Decision Analysis Calculators
Quick, free tools to screen your plans and initiatives. These calculators provide directional guidance - for full Monte Carlo simulation with thousands of scenarios, try Incertive.
Go/No-Go Decision Calculator
Quick assessment for any plan or initiative
Rate six uncertainty factors - market demand, technical complexity, resource availability, financial risk, timeline pressure, and competitive landscape - to get a directional go/no-go recommendation. A simplified tool for early-stage decision screening.
Simplified Tools, Real Limitations
These calculators use simple math - weighted averages and basic scoring - to give you a quick directional read on your plan. They are useful for early-stage screening: quickly identifying whether an initiative has obvious red flags or obvious strengths.
What they cannot do is model how your risk factors interact, compute compound probabilities, identify tail risks, or generate alternative approaches. Those capabilities require Monte Carlo simulation - running thousands of scenarios that sample from probability distributions and reveal the actual shape of your outcome distribution.
Use these calculators to screen ideas quickly. When you find an initiative that passes the basic screening and involves real money, real risk, or real commitment - that is when you need Incertive's full platform.
Ready for Real Monte Carlo Analysis?
These calculators give you a rough read. Incertive gives you the actual probability of success - with 10,000+ simulations, sensitivity analysis, and probability-backed recommendations.
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