For transformation leaders

Improve the odds of your transformation before you commit

Digital transformations fail more often than they succeed. Incertive models the uncertainty in your program and returns a success probability, the risks that most threaten value, and the highest-impact ways to improve your odds.

70%

of digital transformations fall short of their objectives

Source: Boston Consulting Group (2020)
16%

of executives say their transformation improved performance and sustained the gains long-term

Source: McKinsey (2018 Global Survey)

What Incertive quantifies for these projects

Adoption and change management

Transformations fail on adoption more than on technology. Incertive quantifies how change management affects the value you actually realize.

Scope and value realization

Over-broad scope dilutes value. A sensitivity analysis shows which workstreams most drive — or most threaten — the target outcome.

Integration and legacy dependency

Legacy systems and integration are common failure points. The analysis ranks which dependencies most threaten delivery.

Timeline and leadership sustainability

Long programs lose momentum. Incertive models how timeline and sponsorship risk widen the range of outcomes.

A worked example

Enterprise-wide platform and process transformation

An enterprise plans an 18-month transformation spanning a new platform, process redesign, and a large change-management effort across several business units.

44%success probability
HIGH RISK

Takeaway: Adoption across business units and the breadth of scope drive most of the risk. Sequencing the rollout and concentrating change-management capacity on the two highest-value units moves the program from unlikely to viable.

Illustrative example. Sign up to run a real analysis on your own project.

Before you commit, know

The probability the transformation delivers its target value
Which workstreams most drive or threaten the outcome
Whether the scope is realistic for the timeline and team
Where change-management investment most improves the odds

Know before you commit

Get a success probability, the top risks, and the highest-impact improvements for your project — in under 60 seconds.

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